Mobile data network economics metrics
We comprehensively track and analyse - country by country, operator by operator - not only mobile data prices, but also spectrum and network economics metrics. We track spectrum holdings (in the 700, 800, 900, 1500-SDL, 1800, 2100 and 2600 MHz FDD bands and the 2300 and 2600 MHz TDD and 3400-3600 MHz bands), reported or estimated macro site numbers, mobile data volumes and a number of financial and operational metrics.

On this public DFMonitor website we present a subset of our spectrum and network economics metrics such as spectrum usage (expressed in MB/year/MHz/pop) and network capacity utilization (during busy hour in the 5% of most loaded sectors in the network). For key model inputs such as traffic geo-distribution, busy hour share of daily traffic and LTE spectral efficiency we use typical values observed in European mobile networks during our spectrum valuation and related consulting projects.

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For in-depth analysis of the metrics see the 1H2017 release report
Data usage
Data usage

Mobile data usage per capita (i.e. mobile data volume divided by the country population) varies greatly across the EU28 & OECD countries.

The top six countries (Finland, Latvia, Austria, Denmark, Sweden and Estonia) with the highest mobile data usage per capita in 2016 were EU28 countries where consumers could buy unlimited mobile data for less than €30.

In the Greek tight mobile oligopoly where gigabyte prices are exorbitant mobile data usage per capita in 2016 was 37 times lower than in Finland.

For in-depth analysis see the 1H2017 release report (link)
Spectrum usage
Spectrum usage

While almost all EU28 countries have assigned spectrum in the harmonized 800MHz, 900, 1800, 2100 and 2600MHz bands in tight mobile oligopoly markets the assigned spectrum is hardly used due to the very high gigabyte prices.

In the Greek tight mobile oligopoly where gigabyte prices are exorbitant spectrum usage per capita (i.e. MB/year/MHz/pop, a measure of country or operator usage of assigned spectrum recourses) in 2016 was 38 times lower than in Finland.

For in-depth analysis see the 1H2017 release report (link)
Capacity utilisation
Capacity utilisation

Despite the exponential growth of mobile data traffic in many markets with unlimited data most European mobile operators utilized in 2016 a tiny fraction of their available network capacity.

In the Greek, Hungarian, Czech, Belgian and German tight mobile oligopoly markets where prices are high and data caps are very restrictive the average network capacity utilization during Busy Hour in the 5% of most loaded sectors in the network varied from 4% in Germany to 2% in Greece. Mobile networks in these countries are literally empty.

For in-depth analysis see the 1H2017 release report (link)
Fixed-to-mobile broadband substitution potential
Fixed-to-mobile broadband substiution

There are significant fixed-to-mobile broadband substitution gains (i.e. incremental 100 GB/month MBB users expressed as a % of country population that can be accommodated by operator available macro grid capacity) that can be realized if operators unleash the abundant capacity in their networks by offering unlimited data plans.

Mobile operators could carry today 100 GB per person per month and will soon have enough capacity (TDD/massive MIMO) for 200 GB per person per month or ˜500 GB per household.<

For in-depth analysis see the 1H2017 release report (link)
Near zero marginal cost case in point: Elisa Finland
Near zero marginal cost

Despite incumbent telco groups’ warnings about the decoupling of network costs from service revenues, the exponential growth of mobile data traffic in unlimited markets did neither lead to the prophesized capacity crunch nor to unsustainable network investments.

Elisa’s network in Finland is a case in point. Elisa carries the highest mobile data traffic volume in the world in proportion of its size, still: while traffic increased twentyfold during the last six years, its CapEx and OpEx have stayed flat during the period.

The price of IP-based LTE hardware erodes fast, the capacity related network expenditures are increasingly driven by software licensing mechanisms. Software prices are always renegotiable.

For in-depth analysis see the 1H2017 release report (link)
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Source: DFMonitor-PRO Spreadsheet, 1H2017. The spreadsheet includes the total amount of assigned spectrum per country and per 700, 800, 900, 1500-SDL 1800, 2100 2600 MHz FDD bands, 2300 and 2600 MHz TDD bands and 3400-3800 MHz band, historic spectrum usage figures starting from 2H2016. The spreadsheet includes reported or estimated number of macro sites per operator.
Price and network economics metrics by country
Country

EU?

OECD?

Operators

GB for €30
(smart)
Lowest price of 20GB (€)
(smart)
Median fully allocated price per GB
(smart)
GB for €30
MBB
(data-only)
Median fully allocated price per GB
MBB
(data-only)
Data usage, 2016 GB/month /capita
Spectrum usage, 2016 MB/MHz /year/capita
Capacity utilisation, 2016 (%)
Fixed-to-mobile broadband subtitution potential
Fixed-to-mobile broadband subtitution potential with TDD, massive MIMO
Austria (AT)YesYes330.00
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unlimited
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6.312915.3%27.3%
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Australia (AU)NoYes311.00
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15.00
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2.3
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Belgium (BE)YesYes34.00
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30.00
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0.9234.4%14.6%
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Bulgaria (BG)YesNo429.00
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100.00
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Canada (CA)NoYes44.00
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2.00
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1.2
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Switzerland (CH)NoYes3unlimited
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unlimited
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2.9607.1%27.1%
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Chile (CL)NoYes410.00
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50.00
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Cyprus (CY)YesNo33.00
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10.00
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Czech Republic (CZ)YesYes35.00
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40.00
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0.7183.4%16.1%
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Germany (DE)YesYes36.00
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10.00
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0.9163.3%21.9%
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Denmark (DK)YesYes4unlimited
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300.00
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5.510713.8%33.8%
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Estonia (EE)YesYes3unlimited
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unlimited
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5.1106
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Greece (EL)YesYes30.00
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30.00
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0.492%16.7%
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Spain (ES)YesYes425.00
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40.00
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1.1255.9%19.2%
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Finland (FI)YesYes3unlimited
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unlimited
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16.136017.3%57.6%
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France (FR)YesYes4100.00
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20.00
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1.3268.5%15.8%
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Croatia (HR)YesNo3unlimited
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unlimited
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Hungary (HU)YesYes30.00
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100.00
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0.6152.6%18.8%
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Ireland (IE)YesYes3unlimited
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60.00
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3.29513.1%21.3%
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Israel (IL)NoYes5100.00
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500.00
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Iceland (IS)NoYes35.00
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10.00
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4.3156
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Italy (IT)YesYes330.00
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30.00
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1.5358%16.3%
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Japan (JP)NoYes36.00
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5.00
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3.7
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Korea (KR)NoYes30.30
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22.00
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4.578
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Lithuania (LT)YesNo3unlimited
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unlimited
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2.047
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Luxemburg (LU)YesYes315.00
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30.00
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2.971
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Latvia (LV)YesYes3unlimited
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unlimited
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8.9206
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Malta (MT)YesNo20.00
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22.00
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Mexico (MX)NoYes37.00
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7.00
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0.4
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Netherlands (NL)YesYes4unlimited
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25.00
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0.9195.4%13.5%
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Norway (NO)NoYes35.00
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15.00
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2.6623.4%52.8%
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New Zealand (NZ)NoYes33.00
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40.00
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0.820
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Poland (PL)YesYes4100.00
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150.00
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2.46020.7%9.2%
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Portugal (PT)YesYes30.50
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30.00
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1.023
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Romania (RO)YesNo430.00
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32.00
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0.922
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Sweden (SE)YesYes423.00
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50.00
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5.310810.5%37.5%
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Slovenia (SI)YesYes350.00
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unlimited
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0.816
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Slovak Republic (SK)YesYes4unlimited
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300.00
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Turkey (TR)NoYes320.00
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20.00
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1.2264.1%23.9%
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United Kingdom (UK)YesYes430.00
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30.00
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1.83511%13.2%
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United States (US)NoYes45.00
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3.00
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3.6
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Price and network economics metrics by operator

Country
Group
Operator
GB for €30
(smart)
Lowest price of 20GB (€)
(smart)
Median fully allocated price per GB
(smart)
GB for €30
MBB
(data-only)
Data usage, 2016 GB/month /capita
Spectrum usage, 2016 MB/MHz /year/capita
Capacity utilisation, 2016 (%)
Fixed-to-mobile broadband subtitution potential
Fixed-to-mobile broadband subtitution potential with TDD, massive MIMO
Austria (AT)TelekomAustriaA1-AT20.00
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unlimited1.154.26.7%12.3%
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Austria (AT)DeutscheTelekomT-Mobile-AT16.00
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unlimited1.6121.015.2%6.8%
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Austria (AT)Hutchison3-AT30.00
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unlimited3.6244.223.9%8.2%
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Australia (AU)TelstraTelstra-AU9.00
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1.00
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Australia (AU)SingTelOptus-AU11.00
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15.00
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Australia (AU)VodafoneVodafone-AU10.00
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10.00
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Belgium (BE)ProximusProximus-BE4.00
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5.00 0.533.55.8%5.8%
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Belgium (BE)OrangeOrange-BE0.00
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30.00 0.217.23.5%5.1%
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Belgium (BE)LibertyglobalBASE-BE0.00
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6.00 0.217.13.9%3.6%
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Bulgaria (BG)TelekomAustriaMtel-BG11.00
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75.00
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Bulgaria (BG)TelenorTelenor-BG10.00
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25.00
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Bulgaria (BG)VivacomVivacom-BG20.00
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70.00
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Bulgaria (BG)BulsatcomBulsatcom-BG29.00
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100.00
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Canada (CA)RogersCommunicationsRogers-CA0.75
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0.50
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Canada (CA)BCEBell-CA0.00
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2.00
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Canada (CA)TelusTelus-CA0.50
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0.50
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Canada (CA)ShawFreedom-CA4.00
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0.00
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Switzerland (CH)SwisscomSwisscom-CH10.00
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10.00 1.782.38.8%14%
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Switzerland (CH)SunriseSunrise-CH0.00
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unlimited0.643.25.9%7.5%
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Switzerland (CH)IliadSalt-CHunlimited
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1.00 0.540.36.5%5.6%
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Chile (CL)TelefonicaMovistar-CL0.00
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30.00 0.662.9
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Chile (CL)EntelEntel-CL0.00
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10.00
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Chile (CL)AmericaMovilClaro-CL10.00
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20.00
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Chile (CL)NovatorWOM-CL0.00
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50.00
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Cyprus (CY)CYTACYTA-CY0.00
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3.00
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Cyprus (CY)MTNMTN-CY0.00
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2.00
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Cyprus (CY)PrimetelPrimetel-CY3.00
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10.00
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Czech Republic (CZ)DeutscheTelekomT-Mobile-CZ4.00
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40.00 0.318.43.4%5.6%
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Czech Republic (CZ)PPFO2-PPF-CZ1.50
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30.00 0.218.33.3%5.5%
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Czech Republic (CZ)VodafoneVodafone-CZ5.00
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30.00 0.217.13.5%5.1%
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Germany (DE)DeutscheTelekomT-Mobile-DE1.00
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10.00 0.420.93.4%8.4%
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Germany (DE)VodafoneVodafone-DE3.00
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6.00 0.315.23.7%5.8%
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Germany (DE)TelefonicaO2-DE6.00
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8.00 0.313.12.7%7.7%
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Denmark (DK)TDCTDC-DK24.00
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25.00 1.8128.412.7%9.4%
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Denmark (DK)TelenorTelenor-DK20.00
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80.00 1.074.76.6%10.8%
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Denmark (DK)TeliaCompanyTelia-DK30.00
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60.00 1.281.97.4%11.1%
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Denmark (DK)Hutchison3-DKunlimited
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300.00 1.4138.928.4%2.6%
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Estonia (EE)TeliaCompanyTelia-EE20.00
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60.00
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Estonia (EE)ElisaElisa-EE30.00
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unlimited
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Estonia (EE)Tele2Tele2-EEunlimited
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unlimited
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Greece (EL)DeutscheTelekomCosmote-EL0.00
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6.00 0.210.72.1%7.2%
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Greece (EL)VodafoneVodafone-EL0.00
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10.00 0.18.62%5.5%
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Greece (EL)WindHellasWind-EL0.00
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30.00 0.19.62%4%
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Spain (ES)TelefonicaMovistar-ES0.00
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0.50 0.428.53.8%7.4%
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Spain (ES)VodafoneVodafone-ES0.00
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15.00 0.426.55%5.6%
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Spain (ES)OrangeOrange-ES8.00
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40.00 0.323.04.1%5.6%
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Spain (ES)MasmovilYoigo-ES25.00
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10.00 0.118.510.6%0.6%
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Finland (FI)ElisaElisa-FIunlimited
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unlimited6.8448.619.5%20.8%
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Finland (FI)TeliaCompanyTelia-FIunlimited
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unlimited4.1268.013.1%20.5%
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Finland (FI)DNADNA-FIunlimited
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unlimited5.2364.319.3%16.3%
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France (FR)OrangeOrange-FR50.00
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15.00 0.320.13.8%5.9%
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France (FR)AlticeSFR-FR100.00
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0.00 0.215.13.2%5.1%
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France (FR)BouyguesTelecomBouyguesTelecom-FR50.00
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20.00 0.434.38.4%3.6%
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France (FR)IliadFreeMobile-FR100.00
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0.00 0.442.618.8%1.1%
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Croatia (HR)DeutscheTelekomT-Hrvatski-HR2.00
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25.00
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Croatia (HR)TelekomAustriaVIP-HR9.00
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100.00
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Croatia (HR)Tele2Tele2-HRunlimited
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unlimited
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Hungary (HU)DeutscheTelekomT-Mobile-HU0.00
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10.00 0.215.82.6%7.2%
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Hungary (HU)TelenorTelenor-HU0.00
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100.00 0.216.92.7%6.7%
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Hungary (HU)VodafoneVodafone-HU0.00
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50.00 0.210.92.4%4.8%
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Ireland (IE)VodafoneVodafone-IE10.00
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30.00 1.2124.513.4%6.1%
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Ireland (IE)Hutchison3-IEunlimited
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60.00 2.1138.312.4%11.1%
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Ireland (IE)eirMeteor-IE15.00
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50.00 0.899.613.4%4.1%
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Israel (IL)CellcomCellcom-IL6.00
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10.00
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Israel (IL)PartnerPartner-IL25.00
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500.00
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Israel (IL)BezeqPelephone-IL30.00
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10.00
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Israel (IL)ElectraGolanTelecom-IL20.00
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0.00
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Israel (IL)AlticeHotMobile-IL100.00
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17.00
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Iceland (IS)SiminnSiminn-IS0.00
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10.00
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Iceland (IS)VodafoneIcelandVodafoneIceland-IS1.00
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5.00
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Iceland (IS)NovatorNova-IS5.00
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10.00
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Italy (IT)TelecomItaliaTIM-IT6.00
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10.00 0.323.64.1%5.8%
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Italy (IT)VodafoneVodafone-IT0.00
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30.00 0.430.55%6%
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Italy (IT)VEONWindtre-IT30.00
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30.00 1.066.214.9%4.5%
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Japan (JP)NTTdocomoNTTdocomo-JP0.00
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0.00
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Japan (JP)KDDIKDDI-JP0.00
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0.00
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Japan (JP)SoftbankSoftbank-JP6.00
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5.00
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Korea (KR)SKTelecomSKTelecom-KR0.30
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20.00 1.983.8
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Korea (KR)KTKT-KR0.30
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22.00 1.473.3
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Korea (KR)LGUplusLGUplus-KR0.30
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This information is available in the DFMonitor-PRO Spreadsheet.
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20.00 1.274.3
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Lithuania (LT)Tele2Tele2-LT20.00
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unlimited
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Lithuania (LT)TeliaCompanyTelia-LT16.00
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unlimited
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Lithuania (LT)BITEBITE-LTunlimited
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250.00
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Luxemburg (LU)POSTLuxemburgPOSTLuxemburg-LU5.00
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10.00
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Luxemburg (LU)ProximusTango-LU15.00
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30.00
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Luxemburg (LU)OrangeOrange-LU10.00
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25.00
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Latvia (LV)TeliaCompanyLMT-LVunlimited
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unlimited
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Latvia (LV)Tele2Tele2-LVunlimited
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unlimited
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Latvia (LV)BITEBITE-LVunlimited
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150.00
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Malta (MT)VodafoneVodafone-MT0.00
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22.00
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Malta (MT)GoGo-MT0.00
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20.00
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Mexico (MX)AmericaMovilTelcel-MX7.00
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7.00 0.3
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Mexico (MX)TelefonicaMovistar-MX7.00
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This information is available in the DFMonitor-PRO Spreadsheet.
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0.00 0.1
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Mexico (MX)ATTATT-MX6.50
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5.50 0.1
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Netherlands (NL)KPNKPN-NL8.00
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This information is available in the DFMonitor-PRO Spreadsheet.
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5.00 0.426.27.9%3.4%
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Netherlands (NL)VodafoneVodafone-NL5.00
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This information is available in the DFMonitor-PRO Spreadsheet.
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8.00 0.214.23.4%4.7%
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Netherlands (NL)DeutscheTelekomT-Mobile-NL10.00
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This information is available in the DFMonitor-PRO Spreadsheet.
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25.00 0.216.44%4.4%
This information is available in the DFMonitor-PRO Spreadsheet.
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Netherlands (NL)Tele2Tele2-NLunlimited
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This information is available in the DFMonitor-PRO Spreadsheet.
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0.00 0.118.66.2%1.1%
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Norway (NO)TelenorTelenor-NO5.00
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10.00 1.690.53.7%31.8%
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Norway (NO)TeliaCompanyTelia-NO3.00
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This information is available in the DFMonitor-PRO Spreadsheet.
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10.00 0.965.54.9%13.8%
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Norway (NO)Accessindustriesice-NO3.00
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This information is available in the DFMonitor-PRO Spreadsheet.
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15.00 0.112.21.4%7.1%
This information is available in the DFMonitor-PRO Spreadsheet.
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New Zealand (NZ)VodafoneVodafone-NZ0.00
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This information is available in the DFMonitor-PRO Spreadsheet.
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1.00
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New Zealand (NZ)SparkSpark-NZ3.00
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40.00
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New Zealand (NZ)2degrees2degrees-NZ0.00
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1.00
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Poland (PL)OrangeOrange-PL100.00
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This information is available in the DFMonitor-PRO Spreadsheet.
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150.00 0.550.210.7%3%
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Poland (PL)DeutscheTelekomT-Mobile-PL20.00
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This information is available in the DFMonitor-PRO Spreadsheet.
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100.00 0.438.68.2%3.8%
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Poland (PL)PolkomtelPolkomtel-PL10.00
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This information is available in the DFMonitor-PRO Spreadsheet.
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100.00 0.444.816.4%1.7%
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Poland (PL)PlayPlay-PL100.00
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This information is available in the DFMonitor-PRO Spreadsheet.
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100.00 1.0104.047.6%0.7%
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Portugal (PT)AlticeMEO-PT0.00
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30.00
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Portugal (PT)VodafoneVodafone-PT0.50
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This information is available in the DFMonitor-PRO Spreadsheet.
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30.00 0.533.9
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Portugal (PT)NosNos-PT0.50
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This information is available in the DFMonitor-PRO Spreadsheet.
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30.00 0.324.5
This information is available in the DFMonitor-PRO Spreadsheet.
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Romania (RO)OrangeOrange-RO12.00
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This information is available in the DFMonitor-PRO Spreadsheet.
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30.00
This information is available in the DFMonitor-PRO Spreadsheet.
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Romania (RO)VodafoneVodafone-RO6.00
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This information is available in the DFMonitor-PRO Spreadsheet.
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32.00 0.325.4
This information is available in the DFMonitor-PRO Spreadsheet.
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Romania (RO)DeutscheTelekomT-Mobile-RO5.50
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This information is available in the DFMonitor-PRO Spreadsheet.
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20.00
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Romania (RO)RCS-RDSRCS-RDS-RO30.00
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This information is available in the DFMonitor-PRO Spreadsheet.
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20.00
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Sweden (SE)TeliaCompanyTelia-SE10.00
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This information is available in the DFMonitor-PRO Spreadsheet.
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40.00 1.287.16.5%13.8%
This information is available in the DFMonitor-PRO Spreadsheet.
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Sweden (SE)Tele2Tele2-SE20.00
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This information is available in the DFMonitor-PRO Spreadsheet.
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50.00 1.1104.88.5%9.3%
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Sweden (SE)TelenorTelenor-SE6.00
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This information is available in the DFMonitor-PRO Spreadsheet.
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40.00 1.5129.310.5%9.9%
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Sweden (SE)Hutchison3-SE23.00
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This information is available in the DFMonitor-PRO Spreadsheet.
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40.00 1.296.416.5%4.6%
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Slovenia (SI)TelekomSlovenijeTelekomSlovenije-SI15.00
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This information is available in the DFMonitor-PRO Spreadsheet.
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unlimited
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Slovenia (SI)TelekomAustriaA1-SI8.00
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unlimited
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20.00 0.524.42.9%11.9%
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20.00 0.426.14.2%6.8%
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16.00 0.523.97.1%5.5%
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25.00 0.343.411.7%1.8%
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30.00 0.215.54.3%4.1%
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Research reports and insights related to network economics and spectrum


DFMonitor 7th release, 1H2017
2017
release
spectrum
data-caps
pricing
mobile-first
zero-rating
roaming
networkeconomics

May 2017 (updated 22.05.2017)
The state of 4G pricing, mobile data usage, spectrum usage, network capacity utilization and fixed-to-mobile broadband substitution. After its comeback in 2016, in 2017 unlimited mobile data goes viral and spreads to 22 countries. And while in competitive markets such as France and Denmark consumers can buy 100 or unlimited gigabytes for less than €30, in tight mobile oligopoly markets such as Portugal, Greece and Hungary €30 hardly buys any gigabytes. Europe’s mobile data divide widens further: 200x more gigabytes for €30 in smartphone plans, 600x more gigabytes in mobile broadband plans, 200x difference in median gigabyte prices, 40x difference in mobile data usage per capita and spectrum usage.

O2 – Ready to disrupt the German tight oligopoly market
2017
networkeconomics
mobile-first
pricing
merger
spectrum
5G
massiveMIMO
Germany
Telefonica
DeutscheTelekom
Vodafone

April 2017
In March 2017 Telefonica O2 Germany announced 3.5 GHz (they have 83 MHz) Massive MIMO (= very high capacity LTE macro sectors) field trials with Huawei for wireless home broadband and 4K video. Our models predict that O2's macro site grid and spectrum resources (FDD+TDD) could allow it to drive fixed-to-mobile broadband substitution in Germany by connecting millions of households with HD TV service on its high capacity LTE network.

Capacity utilization and fixed-to-mobile broadband substitution potential – A study of 64 European operators
2017
networkeconomics
mobile-first
spectrum
5G
massiveMIMO
Finland
United Kingdom
Poland
Austria
Germany
Hutchison
Telefonica
Play
Elisa

March 2017
When LTE base stations are upgraded to 'Gigabit' speed the gigabyte volume capacity of the networks also greatly expands. We modelled LTE network capacity based on existing FDD and TDD spectrum holdings (and potential acquisitions in 2.3 and 3.4-3.8 GHz bands) and sizes of the macro site grids. Without and with Massive MIMO in the TDD bands. Topical for operators contemplating fixed-to-mobile broadband substitution ahead of upcoming 700, 1500 (SDL), 2300, 3400-3600 MHz spectrum auctions.

Tight oligopoly mobile markets in EU28 in 2016
2016
spectrum
networkeconomics
pricing
merger
mobile-first
zero-rating
Germany
DeutscheTelekom
Vodafone
Telefonica
Orange

December 2016
Fixed-line broadband interest, zero-rating video and big telco ownership impedes competition in mobile markets

Is spectrum usage harmonised across the EU28 national mobile markets?
2016
5G
spectrum
mobile-first
networkeconomics
Vodafone
Telefonica
DeutscheTelekom
Orange
KPN
DNA
Elisa
Tele2
Finland
Greece

November 2016
Spectrum harmonisation: the key to 5G? Rewheel's material presented on the ECTA Regulatory Conference 2016

The Commission proposed wholesale data roaming cap of €8.5/GB is anomalous and will distort competition in North-Eastern mobile markets where retail gigabyte prices are competitive
2016
roaming
networkeconomics
Finland
Poland
Denmark
France
United Kingdom
Italy
Germany
Spain

October 2016
UPDATED with DG Competition's response to Rewheel's concerns. How low should the wholesale data roaming cap be in 2017 to avoid the distortion of competition in North-Eastern domestic mobile markets where retail gigabyte prices are competitive?


Finnish-like unlimited mobile data model now proliferating in Europe
2016
Finland
Germany
Hungary
Elisa
Vodafone
DNA
mobile-first
spectrum
roaming
pricing
networkeconomics

[External post, Linkedin]
October 2016
Efficient use of radio spectrum resources: Elisa Finland is the world's most efficient operator in turning MHz-s into gigabytes. Elisa in Finland pumps 26 times as much gigabyte per MHz per population as Vodafone in Germany. Unlimited mobile data model spreading in Europe, increasing North-South tentions in the EU mobile data roam like at home debate.

EU’s 5G competition challenge
2016
5G
mobile-first
networkeconomics

July 2016
A handful of big telco groups – with vested interests in fixed-line broadband – impose very restrictive mobile internet usage caps. This raises serious concerns that these telco groups – that tightly control most EU national markets – will not be incentivised to sell competitively priced 5G internet access.

Mobile data usage (gigabyte volume) in Finland is set to overtake fixed-line broadband usage in Germany in 2016
2016
Finland
Germany
mobile-first
Elisa
Dna
TeliaCompany
networkeconomics

May 2016
In 2016 mobile data volume consumption per person in Finland is set to exceed fixed-line broadband volume consumption per person in Germany. Anecdotal evidence reported by WDR (German public media) indicated that younger users are frustrated by very restrictive smartphone plan volume caps.

Telenor Denmark – Turnaround strategy
2016
Telenor
Denmark
mobile-first
networkeconomics

April 2016
Telenor’s Danish strategy is in tatters. Telenor’s 4 to 3 consolidation attempt was blocked by the European Commission while its ‘me too’ strategy has been a failure dragging down its profitability. Can Telenor turn the business around and return to profitability?

Tight oligopoly mobile markets in EU28 in 2015
2016
spectrum
pricing
merger
mobile-first
zero-rating
Germany
DeutscheTelekom
Vodafone
Telefonica
Orange

January 2016
Comprehensive analysis of factors that give rise to unilateral anti-competitive effects leading to non-competitive outcomes and consumer harm in tight mobile oligopolies.


German wireless spectrum auction raises 5 bln euros
2015
Germany
spectrum
700MHz

[External article, Reuters]
June 2015
"Five billion is a small fraction of the valuation of this spectrum mix based on the U.S. auction outcome, normalised for German population," said Antonios Drossos co-founder of Finnish telecoms advisory firm Rewheel.

Germany opens the bidding for mobile phone airwaves (700 MHz)
2015
Germany
Telefonica
Vodafone
DeutscheTelekom
spectrum
700MHz

[External article, Reuters]
May 2015
Rewheel: "In this case, there are three players with equal market share of about a third. In such a case nobody is willing to pay extra for additional spectrum ... They are comfortable with the current status quo"

Telcos are killing net-neutrality with overly restrictive Gigabyte quotas, anyway
2014
zero-rating
spectrum

March 2014
How much of its 4G and 5G radio spectrum capacities Europe should keep for open mobile internet access? How much for telcos' and their business partners' 'walled garden' video, cloud and m-health services (i.e. 'specialised services')

In those EU markets where competition between telecom operators can be best described as friendly net-neutrality is already on protracted coma – and the planned no-blocking & throttling rules of Neelie Kroes’s Connected Continent package will be no panacea. In protected telecom oligopolies (where no challenger mobile operator is present) all parallel fixed-line and mobile infrastructures and radio spectrum have already been or soon are to be consolidated in the hands of few friendly voice-era incumbent telecom groups with vested interests in protecting valuation of their fixed-line assets. In these markets telcos have already started to collectively restrict the maximum volume of open-internet on affordable smartphone tariff plans to just few Gigabytes. In contrast, in genuinely competitive markets, such as the UK, Finland and Austria, consumers could choose affordable (€15-€30) smartphone tariff plans that include very large (>10GB) or unlimited Gigabyte volume allowance.

Spectrum use in Finland and the UK versus Germany
2014
Finland
United Kingdom
Germany
spectrum
networkeconomics

March 2014
According to data reported by the national regulatory authorities and presented in the first release (1H2014) of the DFMonitor the average monthly mobile data consumption per capita varies greatly across EU28. In 2012 the Finnish consumed on average 1.49 Gigabyte every month while the British 0.38 Gigabyte. The Germans on the other hand consumed a dismal 0.15 Gigabyte every month. Why do consumers in competitive markets (where a challenger operator is present) consume up to 10 times more mobile data than consumers in protected markets such as Germany? Are Germans less eager users of the internet?

Mobile network operator consolidation in Germany
2013
Germany
Telefonica
KPN
merger
spectrum

November 2013
Telefonica’s acquisition of E-Plus, if approved, will turn Germany into a fiercely competitive market.

Rewheel's input to public consultation of the European Parliament
2013
zero-rating
spectrum
networkeconomics

November 2013
On the 4th of November 2013 Rewheel has submitted its contributions to the public stakeholder consultation launched by the ITRE Committee of the European Parliament on the European Commission's proposal on a telecoms regulation titled 'Connected Continent'.

Austrian telecoms auction squeezes smallest player
2013
Austria
Hutchison
TelekomAustria
mobile-first
spectrum

[External article, Reuters]
October 2013
Telekom Austria paid a high price for new spectrum in a fourth-generation telecoms auction that may pay off if it reduces a competitive threat from smaller rival Hutchison Whampoa's H3G. Rewheel quotes inside.

EU27 mobile data cost competitiveness report - May 2013 (Rewheel's second extensive EU-wide mobile data cap and pricing analysis)
2013
release
pricing
spectrum
Germany

May 2013
EU’s single telecom market is threatened by the lack of mobile network infrastructure based competition within the national borders of half of EU’s member states and from the noticeable absence of pan-European retail operators offering borderless European tariffs.

Analysis: Dutch mobile market faces French-style price war
2012
Netherlands
Tele2
KPN
spectrum

[External article, Reuters]
September 2012
The Netherlands could be heading for a mobile phone price war similar to the one that has ravaged industry profits in France, with an auction of wireless licenses next month likely to ramp up competition to market leader KPN (KPN.AS) and its rivals. Quoting Rewheel.

E-Plus Germany mobile data impact analysis — showing way forward for challenger operators?
2010
Germany
KPN
spectrum
mobile-first
networkeconomics

November 2010
Up until late 2009 E-Plus had been following a low cost challenger strategy primarily targeting customers with no or very light mobile data needs. But late 2009, when it became apparent that fast mobile data is not a niche offering any longer but is becoming an essential need of the mass consumer base in Germany and in other developed telecoms markets, they swiftly declared a new, “voice+data” strategy.

Mobile telecom margins safe in data surge - study
2010
spectrum
mobile-first
networkeconomics

[External article, Reuters]
September 2010
New technology and falling equipment prices will sustain profit margins at mobile telecom operators even if data traffic over their networks grows twentyfold, a [Rewheel] study said.

2010
spectrum
mobile-first
networkeconomics

September 2010
Market saturation, eroding voice ARPU and climbing data capacity upgrade costs are threatening the sustainability of mobile operators’ historically high profitability. We show that by taking timely actions on both the retail and network cost fronts smart operators can sustain their profitability while redefining their business to serve the increasingly data centric life style of their customers.

2010
Germany
Finland
spectrum
networkeconomics

August 2010
There is a common opinion in the industry that 3G/HSPA mobile data networks are congested because operators are running out of their spectrum resources. Considering the traffic demand, likely traffic geo-distribution, daily profile and the constrains of HSPA and LTE technology our models show that in typical mature mobile telecommunications markets spectrum scarcity alone does not cause a capacity crunch yet.

FACTBOX - What does the new LTE mobile technology offer?
2010
spectrum
networkeconomics

[External article, Reuters]
February 2010
Here are some facts on the new technology, which will also be one of the key topics at the world's largest wireless trade show, Mobile World Congress, next week in Barcelona. Based on Rewheel insights.

2010
spectrum
networkeconomics

February 2010
The budget of operators’ LTE investments is being squeezed by the challenging mobile data business case. In order to make economic sense, the cost of rolling out an LTE network cannot be more than a fraction of the money that has been spent on 3G rollouts. Moreover, the price of incremental capacity upgrades needs to be at least ten times lower than the typical price of adding comparable capacity to HSPA networks.



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